关于阿富新情况的想法

我对阿富汗和美国兵测的理解不算很深，但是最近的转折让我觉得我压根没看穿阿富汗战争隐藏的战略利益。我从来没信过美国主要是为了避免恐怖分子的攻击而侵入了阿富汗。我们看历史就能看得出美国的兵家对中东在9-11之前早就有计划。有些人声称过美国侵入阿富汗是为了建设通阿富汗有战略性好处的管道，不过我感觉这种解释一点都不令人满意。

美军撤离的做法差到像是故意请塔利班控制阿富汗。在某一个军事基地，美军暗中迅速撤离了也没给阿富汗军任何通知。结果那个基地马上被塔利班军洗劫。我没法相信这么混乱的撤离是为了能遵守拜登9-11的期限，一定有另外一个原因使美国兵家让撤离的过程这么混乱。虽然美国的兵家经常会像傻子，像傻子一般是装傻。

我很期待看塔利班政权下的阿富汗跟巴基斯坦以及中国一带一路的项目是怎么相处的。

I am by no means an expert on Afghanistan or US military strategy, but the current turn of events in the country have left me feeling that I don’t understand the underlying strategic interests of the United States in Afghanistan. I never believed that the only reason for the war was to prevent future terrorist attacks on US soil, and historically, we know that military thinkers in the US had long had designs for the Middle East significantly before the 9/11 attacks. Some claimed that the US invasion was associated with plans to build a pipeline that would go through Afghanistan, but this alone does not seem to be a good reason for the invasion.

The withdrawal of US troops seems so badly done that it almost seems to be purposefully opening the door for Taliban control of the country. There was a US base that was evacuated by US troops secretly overnight with no notification to nearby Afghan army commanders. That same base was looted by Taliban forces immediately after. I refuse to believe that the reason for this sudden removal is to meet a deadline, there must be further deliberate reasons for the sudden and disorganized retreat, US strategists feign stupidity all the time, but they are not.

I will be eagerly watching to see how Taliban controlled Afghanistan interacts with Pakistan as well as OBOR initiatives from China.